• Buy more water with 0% buyers commission on surface water!

  • Zone 1, 2 & 3 Lower Murrumbidgee Groundwater WANTED - Temporary & Permanent
        

  • Permanent Murrumbidgee High Security WANTED @ $6,000/ML (wet)

  • Permanent Lower Murray Groundwater Entitlement WANTED - call for offers
     

  • Permanent Murrumbidgee General Security WANTED @ $2,150/ML (wet)

ANNUAL WATER AUCTION

PRELIMINARY NOTICE

ANNUAL WATER AUCTION

12th May 2017 @ 2:30pm

Davidge Pavilion - Riverina Field Days, Griffith

Entries invited for

Temporary and Permanent Surface and Groundwater

Very strong buyer enquiry in the Murrumbidgee Valley for:
  • Permanent High and General Security Water
  • Permanent Supplementary incl. MIA and CICL
  • Lower Murrumbidgee Groundwater
  • Carryover Capacity
  • Forward Water
"Currently there is very strong demand for Permanent Water, with low supply available. I believe that at the Annual Water Auction, we could see sellers achieve record prices" 
- Tom Wilks, 13/4/17

Market Snapshot
Temporary Offers to Buy Offers to Sell Last Sale
Murrumbidgee $5/ML $10/ML
$8/ML
NSW Murray $30/ML
$39/ML
$32/ML
Permanent Offers to Buy Offers to Sell Last Sale
General Security $1500/ML
$1550/ML
$1500/ML
High Security $3480/ML
$3600/ML $3480/ML

For further information, or to list you water call us on
0269 318 522 or 0428 694 608

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Our contact details are:
Wilks Water
P.O. Box 5633, Wagga Wagga, NSW 2650
Phone: 02 6931 8522 | Mobile: 0428 694 608 | Fax: 02 6931 9897
Email: water@wilkswater.com.au | Website: www.wilkswater.com.au


Water Outlook 2017 - 18

Water Outlook 2017-18


Comment from Tom...
"The main message I have is don't panic!! The outlook below from DPI for allocations in the new water season is an estimate only. It is a worse-case scenario. DPI Water has been notoriously conservative with indicative and actual allocations announcements since the '06-'07? season when they suspended 25% of water in people's accounts causing temp prices to jump from $50 to $200. I am sure they would like to avoid repeating such a controversial decision. The actual factors taken into account and the basis of assumptions used are largely unknown to us. This makes it extremely difficult to make a decision as to the validity and hence usefulness of the information provided". 

Something to note;
In February 2016 DPI Water predicted that Murrumbidgee General Security allocations would be zero (0) at the commencement of this season (July 1, 2016). At that time Blowering was 29% and falling. Burrinjuck was 52% and falling.

The season actually began with 20% allocation. 

NSW Murray

This preliminary outlook for the likely 1 July 2017 water allocation is based on assumed dry (75th percentile) inflow conditions for the remainder of the current (2016-17) water year

Conditions this year are indicating potentially much higher carryover volumes in the NSW Murray than in recent years. Indications are that private carryover could be up to 45 per cent of entitlement, some 750,000 ML. Maximum carryover in the valley is 50 per cent.

Indicative allocations on 1 July 2017 - NSW Murray.

  • Full allocations will be made for supplementary access licence holders. However, use of this entitlement is only available subject to announced periods of supplementary flow.
  • Preliminary estimates indicate that 70 per cent of water users may have at least 45 per cent carryover, with 80 per cent of water users having at least 25 per cent of carryover.
  • NSW Murray high security access licences will receive an allocation of 97 per cent of entitlement in accordance with the water sharing plan.
  • General security allocation is expected to commence with at least 3 per cent of entitlement under dry conditions. This means that, when added to carryover, water availability for general security users could be on average close to 50 per cent of entitlement.

Murrumbidgee

This preliminary outlook for the likely 1 July 2017 water allocation conservatively assumes extreme dry conditions (99th percentile) for the remainder of the current (2016-17) water year. It also looks at possible wetter scenarios extending into 2017-18.

With the arrival of wet conditions late last year and full allocations, carryover is estimated to be close to the maximum allowable 30 per cent of entitlement, namely over 650,000 megalitres (ML).

Indicative allocations on 1 July 2017

  • Private carryover will be fully deliverable. At this early stage, it is estimated that the average carryover across the valley will be close to the maximum 30 per cent of entitlement.
  • Murrumbidgee High Security access licences will receive an initial allocation of 95 per cent of entitlement, consistent with the Murrumbidgee regulated river water sharing plan.
  • Under ‘extreme dry’ inflow conditions (99th percentile) through to the end of this (2016-17) water year, there will be 9 per cent commencing general security allocation on 1 July.

The next forecast of water availability for 2017-18 will be 15th May 2017.
See the full Preliminary Water Availability outlooks for 2017/18 season along with all past Allocation Announcements on the NSW Office of Water website by clicking here.

IVT UPDATE

IVT UPDATE

As at 12/01/17 the IVT balance was still 100,000ML meaning intervalley trade from the Murrumbidgee to the Murray is still closed. (Click here to view IVT balance online)

The MDBA in their River Murray System Annual Operating Plan End October 2016 Update published 18th November 2016, on page 8, spoke of current planning calling on 100GL from the Murrumbidgee between January and May 2017, which would cause the IVT balance to be lowered, possibly to zero and open trade from the Murrumbidgee to the Murray(Click here to view the River Murray system annual operating plan End October 2016 update).

TEMPORARY WATER VALUES – CURRENT SALES

Murrumbidgee: $35 to $39/ML.

NSW Murray: $70 to $77/ML.

Victorian Murray: $70 to $78/ML.

Temporary prices in the Murrumbidgee are back to levels seen in the spring when the rain appeared unlikely to stop long enough for rice and cotton planting to occur. With a $30/ML price difference when intervalley trade opens Murrumbidgee values will rise and Murray values fall to find a middle ground assuming trade stays open for any length of time.

I feel trade will be opened and shut before most people hear about it.

The MDBA report also mentioned drawing on the Menindee Lakes storages to run the Darling River and the Murray River below Wentworth (Page 7).

This has been recently announced. (Click here to view the MDBA Media Release).

WHEN WILL IVT OPEN?

The MDBA report has outlined their intentions regarding IVT opening. We will only know the exact date after it has happened. Further information may be made available in the MDBA weekly update published on Fridays (To subscribe to weekly update, click here).

All the above information points to intervalley trade opening at some stage this season, however there are no guarantees.

If trade does open, there will be a stampede to take advantage of higher temporary prices on the Murray and intervalley trade will close very quickly.

If you wish to participate in intervalley trade, please contact me to make arrangements now so we can lodge a trade form immediately when trade opens. 

NOTE TO TEMPORARY BUYERS

There are currently sellers in the Murrumbidgee Valley at $35 - $40 /ML. The lowest prices seen for quite a while. Prices will only stay low while intervalley trade is closed. It may be worth considering purchasing water now for pre-watering or to fill storages later on. 

CARRYOVER SPACE

Buyers are currently offering $60 /ML for carryover capacity in the Murrumbidgee Valley - including MIA and CICL.

PERMANENT WATER - MURRUMBIDGEE VALLEY

High Security

Buyers @ $3500 /ML - few sellers

General Security

Buyers @ $1400 /ML
Sellers @ $1500 /ML


To discuss these or any other water matter please do not hesitate to contact me at any time.

Tom Wilks - 0428 694 608 or business hours - 0269 318 522.    



Allocation Announcement - 15th November 2016

15-Nov-2016 Allocation Announcement

NSW Murray

NSW Murray General Security

increases to 100% of entitlement

NSW Murray High Security

increases to 100% of entitlement

Murrumbidgee

Murrumbidgee General Security

increases to 100% of entitlement

Murrumbidgee High Security

increases to 100% of entitlement
Allocations for Murrumbidgee General Security licence holders has increased by 24%, while High Security licence holders are to receive an increase of 5%. This means that both licence categories have reached full entitlement. The increase has been assisted by unregulated flows meeting operational losses, plus continuing inflows to storages keeping them near full for the commencement of irrigation demand. Supplementary access continues to be available in the lower river sections (below Redbank Weir), however; the river has begun to transition to regulated conditions as warmer weather arrives. 

Allocations for NSW Murray General Security licence holders has increased by 28%, while High Security licence holders are to receive an increase of 3%. This means that both licence categories have reached full entitlement. With the Darling River flow peak now below Bourke and providing continued strong improvement at Menindee Lakes, together with a moderate increase in storage at Dartmouth Dam, there is now sufficient assured resource available for full allocations.

With full allocations announced from this assessment, fortnightly water allocation announcements will now cease for the remainder of this water year.
See past and present Allocation Announcements on the NSW Dept. of Primary Industries website by clicking here.

ALLOCATION ANNOUNCEMENT - 1ST NOVEMBER 2016

01-Nov-2016 Allocation Announcement

NSW Murray

NSW Murray General Security

increases to 72% of entitlement

NSW Murray High Security

remains at 97% of entitlement

Murrumbidgee

Murrumbidgee General Security

increases to 76% of entitlement

Murrumbidgee High Security

remains at 95% of entitlement
Murrumbidgee General Security allocation increases by 5% to 76% of entitlement. Continuing rainfall has seen storages remain effectively full and irrigation demand is minimal. Supplementary access has been continuous since the start of the water year; however regulated water delivery conditions will return as flood waters continue to recede.

NSW Murray General Security allocation has increased by 9% to 72% of entitlement. The increase is underpinned by improvement in storage at Menindee Lakes and Dartmouth Dam. 

The next allocation announcement will be 15th November 2016.
See past and present Allocation Announcements on the NSW Office of Water website by clicking here.

ALLOCATION ANNOUNCEMENT - 17TH OCTOBER

17-Oct-2016 Allocation Announcement

NSW Murray

NSW Murray General Security

increases to 63% of entitlement

NSW Murray High Security

remains at 97% of entitlement

Murrumbidgee

Murrumbidgee General Security

increases to 71% of entitlement

Murrumbidgee High Security

remains at 95% of entitlement

Murrumbidgee General Security allocation has increased by 10% to 71% of entitlement. Now that general security allocation has increased beyond 70%, carryover in accounts will start to boost allocations because individual account limits, 100% entitlement in the Murrumbidgee, are being reached. In other words, those with maximum carryover (30%) cannot benefit from further allocation improvement and their forfeited water is allocated to others.

NSW Murray General Security allocation has increased by 10% to 63% of entitlement. Above average rainfall and wet catchment conditions continue to provide steady system inflows and storage improvements. Now that general security allocation has increased beyond 60%, carryover in accounts will start to boost allocations because individual account limits, 110% entitlement in the NSW Murray, are being reached. In other words, those with maximum carryover (50%) cannot benefit from further allocation improvement. This forfeiture of water from full accounts means that those with little or no carryover benefit the most from further resource improvements.

The next allocation announcement will be 1st November 2016.

See past and present Allocation Announcements on the NSW Office of Water website by clicking here.

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Our contact details are:
P.O. Box 5633, Wagga Wagga, NSW 2650
Phone: 02 6931 8522 | Mobile: 0428 694 608 | Fax: 02 6931 9897 | Email: trades@wilkswater.com.au

Copyright © 2016 - Water Exchange Australia Pty Ltd trading as Wilks Water, All rights reserved.


ALLOCATION ANNOUNCEMENT - 4TH OCTOBER 2016

04-Oct-2016 Allocation Announcement

NSW Murray

NSW Murray General Security

increases to 53% of entitlement

NSW Murray High Security

remains at 97% of entitlement

Murrumbidgee

Murrumbidgee General Security

remains at 61% of entitlement

Murrumbidgee High Security

remains at 95% of entitlement
Murrumbidgee General Security allocation remains unchanged at 61% of entitlement. Average general security carryover is 19% of entitlement, meaning that overall general security water availability remains at 80%. The resource improvement in the past fortnight was required to be assigned to the Environmental Water Allowance (EWA3), in accordance with the water sharing plan, since general security allocation plus carryover has reached 80%. Future resource improvements can now accrue to general security entitlement holders. 

NSW Murray General Security allocation has increased by 11% to 53% of entitlement. Above average rainfall and wet catchment conditions continue to provide steady system inflows and storage improvements. Average general security carryover in NSW Murray water user accounts is 27% of entitlement, meaning that the general security water availability overall is 80%. 

The next allocation announcement will be 17th October 2016.
See past and present Allocation Announcements on the NSW Office of Water website byclicking here.

ALLOCATION ANNOUNCEMENT - 15TH SEPT 2016

15-Sep-2016 Allocation Announcement

NSW Murray

NSW Murray General Security

increase to 30% of entitlement

NSW Murray High Security

remains at 97% of entitlement

Murrumbidgee

Murrumbidgee General Security

increase to 54% of entitlement

Murrumbidgee High Security

remains at 95% of entitlement

Murrumbidgee General Security allocation has increased 4% to 54%. Intermittent rainfall combined with already wet catchments has led to significant runoff and inflows into the Murrumbidgee storages. Storage levels continue to rise with downstream tributaries below Wagga contributing significant inflows to the main river. Further rainfall is forecast.

NSW Murray General Security has increased by 5% to 30%. Rainfall since June has improved soil moisture and provided steady system inflows and storage improvements.

The next allocation announcement will be 4th October 2016.

See past and present Allocation Announcements on the NSW Office of Water website by clicking here.



ALLOCATION ANNOUNCEMENT 1ST SEPTEMBER 2016

ALLOCATION ANNOUNCEMENT

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Murrumbidgee General Security allocation has increased 4% to 54%. Intermittent rainfall combined with already wet catchments has led to significant runoff and inflows into the Murrumbidgee storages. Storage levels continue to rise with downstream tributaries below Wagga contributing significant inflows to the main river. Further rainfall is forecast.

 

NSW Murray General Security has increased by 5% to 30%. Rainfall since June has improved soil moisture and provided steady system inflows and storage improvements.

 

The next allocation announcement will be 15th September 2016. 

 

Murrumbidgee General Security water allocation increases to 54% of entitlement.

 

Murrumbidgee High Security water remains at 95% of entitlement. 

 

NSW Murray General Security water allocation increases to 30% of entitlement.

 

NSW Murray High Security water remains at 97% of entitlement.

 

See past and present Media Releases on the NSW Office of Water website by clicking here

ALLOCATION ANNOUNCEMENT - 15TH AUGUST 2016

ALLOCATION ANNOUNCEMENT

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Murrumbidgee General Security allocation has increased 6% to 50%. Above average wet conditions in July eased in the early part of August. Storage levels are rising slowly and downstream tributaries above Wagga Wagga are providing significant inflows to the main river.
 
NSW Murray General Security has increased by 13% to 25%. This improvement is largely from tributary inflows including the use of unregulated flow to meet operational requirements.
 
The next allocation announcement will be 1st September 2016.
 
Murrumbidgee General Security water allocation increases to 50% of entitlement.
 
Murrumbidgee High Security water remains at 95% of entitlement.
 
NSW Murray General Security water allocation announced today at 25% of entitlement.
 
NSW Murray High Security water remains at 97% of entitlement.

 

See past and present Media Releases on the NSW Office of Water website by clicking here